The Week Ahead: Gauging Home Price Growth

On Tuesday, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) will release its Home Price Index for March. According to the previous index, home prices increased by 0.3% in February from the prior month and jumped 4.9% from February 2018 to February 2019.

The FHFA’s HPI is calculated using home sales price information from mortgages sold to, or guaranteed by, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The report also stated that January's 0.6% increase remains unchanged.

According to the report, seasonally adjusted monthly house price changes from January to February of 2019 ranged from -1.2% in the Middle Atlantic division, to an increase of 1.4% in the East-South-Central division. Year-over-Year changes were all positive, ranging from a 3.5% increase in the West-South-Central division to a 6.5% increase in the Mountain divisione—the highest reported increase.

Year-over-year price changes fluctuated when comparing 2018 to 2019. The FHFA reported the price change of U.S. homes from February 2017–2018 was 7.6%. The reported change over the past year was 4.9%.

Homes in the Pacific region (Hawaii, Oregon, California, Washington, and Alaska) saw the biggest dip, as price changes from February 2017–2018 came in at 10.2%. Price changes over the past year were just 3.7%.

The East-South-Central Division (Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, and Kentucky) saw an increase in price changes from 6.1% from 2017–2018 to 6.4% over the past year.

Here's what else is happening in The Week Ahead:

• S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller Index, Tuesday, May 28
• Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey, May 28
• NAR Pending Homes Sales Index, Thursday, May 30