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Headwinds Descending on Housing Market

Prospective homebuyers faced a challenging housing market during the third quarter, mostly due to ongoing inventory shortages that are resulting in a faster rate of home price appreciation, according to a quarterly report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) covering the third quarter.

In Q3, the median price nationwide for existing single-family homes was $240,900, which was a year-over-year increase of 5.2 percent and a new peak quarterly median sales price—just $200 above Q2’s peak of $240,700.

The median price also rose at a slightly faster over-the-year rate in Q3 compared to the rate in Q2 (5.2 percent compared to 4.9 percent), according to NAR. In all, 87 percent of metros measured (155 out of 178) showed increases in their median existing-home price for the third quarter compared to a year ago. Twenty-five of the metros experienced double-digit rates of home price appreciation in Q3.

“Mortgage rates around historical lows and solid local job creation created a winning formula for sustained homebuying demand all summer long,” NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said. “Unfortunately for house hunters in several of the top job producing metro areas around the country, deficient supply levels limited their options and drove prices higher—especially in markets in the West and South.”

A persistent shortage of existing homes for sale drove the faster rates of home price appreciation, according to NAR. At the end of Q3, there were 2.04 million existing homes for sale, which is down by 6.8 percent from Q3 2015 (2.19 million). Average supply in Q3 was also down over-the-year from 4.9 months to 4.6 months.

The short supply also resulted in a slight slippage of existing-home sales, according to NAR. Existing homes sold at an annual rate of 5.38 million, down by 2.2 percent from the second quarter and by 0.4 percent over-the-year.

“After climbing to their highest annual pace in over nine years in June, sales sputtered in the third quarter because inventory could not catch up with what was being quickly sold,” said Yun. “Only a decent rebound in September kept the monthly and annual sales declines from being even larger.”

NAR’s analysis for the third quarter also showed that seven of the 10 most expensive housing markets were located in the West, led by San Jose, where the median home price surpassed $1 million for the second straight quarter.

About Author: Seth Welborn

Seth Welborn is a Harding University graduate with a degree in English and a minor in writing. He is a contributing writer for MReport. An East Texas Native, he has studied abroad in Athens, Greece and works part-time as a photographer.
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