The U.S. Census Bureau will reveal its latest readings on housing starts and permits on Wednesday, March 18.
In February [1], the Bureau reported that 1.55 million housing permits were issued in January 2020—a 9.2% increase from December 2019 and an annual increase of 17.9%.
Single-family authorizations were 6.4% higher than the month prior at 987,000.
An estimated 1.56 million housing starts were reported in January. While this is a 3.6% decline from December, it is a 21.4% year-over-year increase. January saw 1.001 million single-family housing starts, which is 5.9% below December 2019.
Additionally, housing completions for the month were down month-over-month by 3.3% at 1.28 million. Housing completions were still 1.5% above the January 2019 rate of 1.26 million.
Holden Lewis, Home and Mortgage Expert with NerdWallet, called January’s figures a “pleasant surprise” for future homebuyers.
“Builders broke ground in January with vigor. Housing starts were much higher compared to a year earlier, which is a sign that housing shortages could ease in some markets when those homes are completed,” Lewis said. “Note that I'm not saying housing shortages will end—just that they might be less bad. There were fewer housing starts in January than in December, but everyone expected that. December's pace of housing starts was the highest in 13 years."
“The housing market is on solid footing. Demographic demand only continues to strengthen as 4.8 million millennials turn 30 this year (approaching peak home-buying age) and low borrowing costs and a strong labor market boost purchasing power,” said Odeta Kushi, First American Deputy Chief Economist. “Finally, the other half of the equation, supply, is beginning to accelerate to keep up with the pace of household formation.”
Kushi added that permits are a “leading indicator” of future housing starts and a harbinger of things to come in 2020.
Here's what else is happening in The Week Ahead:
- NAHB Home Builders Index (March 17)
- Federal Open Market Committee Meeting (March 17-18)
- NAR Existing Home Sales (March 20)