While the “if” and “when” of a recession remain uncertain, the Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research Group does forecast one to occur, expected to begin in the first half of 2024—despite increased chances of a “soft landing.”
Read More »Housing Demand, Home Prices Remain More Resilient Than Anticipated
According to Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research Group expectations for Q1, the increase in the sales pace from the end of 2022 to the beginning of 2023 revealed that homebuying demand remains buoyant and was unexpectedly responsive to small declines in mortgage rates.
Read More »Fannie Mae: Recession Conditions Expected in Second Half of 2023
“Inflation has now been joined by financial stability concerns as threats to sustained growth,” said Doug Duncan, SVP and Chief Economist for Fannie Mae.
Read More »Consumer ‘Retrenchment’ is Major Factor in Upcoming Recession
"In our view, the balance still suggests a modest recession, particularly if the Federal Reserve maintains its focus on labor market tightness,” said Doug Duncan, SVP and Chief Economist for Fannie Mae.
Read More »Recession by 2023? Fannie Mae Weighs In
Over the last few weeks, markets have increasingly—and perhaps reluctantly—reflected the resolve of the Fed to lower inflation via rapid tightening of monetary policy," said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae SVP and Chief Economist.
Read More »Tumultuous Economic Conditions on Horizon After Recent Fed Move
According to new research from Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research Group (ESR), the housing market is expected to further cool as mortgage rates continue to rise and ...
Read More »Fannie Mae Predicts Recession Conditions in Early 2023
The research arm of Fannie Mae has moved its recession prediction from the second to the first quarter of 2023. Here are insights from Chief Economist Doug Duncan.
Read More »Fannie Mae Predicts Lower Home Sales, Originations in 2022-2023
“Tightening financial conditions are slowing economic activity, and consumers are drawing down savings and increasingly relying on credit cards as they seek to maintain current levels of consumption,” said Fannie Mae Chief Economist Doug Duncan.
Read More »The Changing Fortunes of Home Sales
After lagging for most of the first part of the year, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have projected a likely increase in home sales this spring. Here’s why.
Read More »Fannie Mae Weighs in on Housing and Economy
The 2018 full-year forecast for the economy was upgraded by Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Group. Here’s how housing fared in the forecast.
Read More »