An increase in prices itself does not signal a bubble. An unsustainable increase, not supported by other data, however, would.
Read More »Case-Shiller Indices Post Yearly Gains in All Cities
Home prices posted their strongest yearly gain in almost seven years in March, with both the 10- and 20-city indices seeing double-digit gains, according to the Case-Shiller Home Price Indices released Tuesday. The national index, reported quarterly, was up 10.2 percent. The three cities that showed no growth (and one of the cities in which prices fell for the month) were in the Midwest, indicating continuing struggles in the region. Nonetheless, March was an improvement over February.
Read More »Commentary: Housing Recovery? Hold the Champagne
The last time both prices and sales of new homes increased in the same month was last September. What of course is missing from the two data sets is any indication of demand.
Read More »Existing-Home Sales, Prices Up in April, Activity Constrained
Existing-home sales rose a 0.6 percent in April to an annual sales rate of 4.97 million, the highest level since November 2009, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported Wednesday. Economists had expected a 1.6 percent increase to 5.0 million from March's original report of 4.92 million sales. The median price of an existing single-family home jumped $8,900 in the month to $192,800, the highest since August 2008.
Read More »Commentary: Real-World Experiments
Economists usually do it with models, so it's rare in economics to be able to conduct a laboratory experiment.
Read More »Commentary: Seven Little Words
When the Federal Open Market Committee completed its two-day meeting at the beginning of May, it issued the usual six-paragraph post-meeting statement.
Read More »Homeownership Rate Declines to Lowest Level Since 1995
The nation's homeownership rate fell to 65 percent in the first quarter of 2013, according to data from the Census Bureau.
Read More »Case-Shiller Indices Continue Rapid Gains in February
Despite weakness in the Midwest, home prices posted their strongest year-over-year gain in almost seven years in February, according to the Case-Shiller 10- and 20-city Home Price Indexes released Tuesday. Month-over-month, the 10-city index improved 0.4 percent in February, while the 20-city index was up 0.3 percent. On a yearly basis, the 10-city index was up 8.6 percent, and the 20-city index rose 9.3 percent. Economists had forecast the 20-city index would rise slightly to 146.16, essentially unchanged from January.
Read More »New Home Sales Rise in March as Prices Plummet
After experiencing the sharpest drop in two years in February, new home sales increased 1.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 417,000 in March, the Census Bureau and HUD reported Tuesday. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expected March sales to increase to 419,000 from a February's originally reported 411,000. The median price of a new home, according to the Census-HUD report, plunged $17,900 (or 6.8 percent) in March to $247,000, the largest month-over-month decline since February 2011.
Read More »Commentary: No Virginia, There is No Santa Claus
What do you do when you find out Santa Claus doesn't exist? That's the situation House Budget Committee Chair Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) faces now.
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