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Tag Archives: GDP

First-Quarter GDP Shrinks at Fastest Rate Since 2009

In its third and final estimate of first-quarter growth, the Department of Commerce recorded an annualized 2.9 percent decline in GDP throughout the year's first months. While analysts expected GDP growth to shrink further following the last estimate of a 1.0 percent decline, the reported number represents a sharper downturn than the 1.8 percent contraction that had been forecast.

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Leading Economic Indicators Up for Fourth Straight Month

The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index (LEI), which tracks signs of future developments, rose 0.5 percent in May to 101.7, building on gains of 0.3 percent in April and 1.0 percent in March. "Housing permits held the index back slightly but the LEI still points to an expanding economy and its pace may even pick up in the second half of the year," said Conference Board economist Ataman Ozyildirim.

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Freddie Curbs Expectations in Mid-Year Assessment

Despite a disappointing first quarter and a mediocre second quarter, Freddie Mac still expects the economy to improve throughout the second half of 2014. The company is, however, tempering its New Year's optimism. In its June U.S. Economic and Housing Market Outlook, released Thursday, Freddie offers a mid-year assessment that sees more humble growth across most sectors.

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GDP Takes Negative Turn in Second Q1 Estimate

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released Thursday its second look at gross domestic product (GDP) for Q1, estimating an annualized 1.0 percent decline as private inventory investment dropped further than originally reported. BEA's first estimate, released late April, put growth at an estimated annual rate of 0.1 percent compared to Q4's final rate of 2.6 percent.

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Leading Economic Indicators Point to Impending Growth

An index measuring leading economic indicators in the United States posted its third straight increase in April, suggesting economic growth might be ready to take off in the coming months following a weak first quarter. The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, a gauge of the near-term economic outlook, increased 0.4 percent last month to a reading of 101.4.

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Fed Chair Voices Concerns on Housing Slowdown

While the sudden stop in economic growth in this year’s first quarter might have some market-watchers sending up red flags, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen isn’t especially concerned. One warning sign has caught her eye, however: housing. Faced with recent sales figures, the Fed chief admitted, “[T]he recent flattening out in housing activity could prove more protracted than currently expected rather than resuming its earlier pace of recovery.”

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Mortgage Rates Dip on Dim Economic Growth

In its weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, Freddie Mac recorded the average 30-year fixed rate at 4.29 percent (0.7 point) for the week ending May 1, down from 4.33 percent. Freddie Mac’s chief economist, Frank Nothaft, pinned the declines on disappointing numbers for gross domestic product (GDP) in the first quarter. According to an advance estimate, the economy expanded at a rate of 0.1 percent last quarter, well short of market forecasts.

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First-Quarter GDP Growth Hits Wall

According to numbers put out by the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) Wednesday, real gross domestic product (GDP) grew at an annualized rate of 0.1 percent in Q1, a plunge from the final 2.6 percent growth rate reported for Q4 2013. The sudden slowdown reflects in part the toll this year’s winter season took on economic expansion, though not all changes were weather-related.

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Fannie Mae Sets Growth Forecasts for ‘Slow’

A weaker-than-expected first quarter has researchers at Fannie Mae amending their forecast for growth in 2014, but they still project acceleration as the year progresses. “The April economic forecast is similar to February and March, where slow growth has been the common denominator, but we expect to see a slight pickup beginning this quarter,” explained Doug Duncan, chief economist at Fannie Mae.

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Mortgage Rates Little Changed in Light News Week

Freddie Mac released Thursday the results of its latest weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, showing the average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) coming up to 4.41 percent (0.7 point) for the week ending April 3—a minor increase from 4.40 percent last week. “Mortgage rates were little changed amid a week of light economic reports,” said Frank Nothaft, VP and chief economist for Freddie Mac.

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