Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae SVP and Chief Economist, forecasts positive things for 2024. But here’s why rates “still have a significant way to go in order to meaningfully reduce the ‘lock-in effect.’”
Read More »2023’s Resilient Economy Expected to Slow Next Year
“Last week’s comments by Chairman Powell, as well as the Federal Reserve’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, suggest increased Fed confidence that a soft landing has been achieved and inflation is headed sustainably to 2%,” said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae’s SVP and Chief Economist.
Read More »Fannie Mae Analysis Predicts a Rebounding Economy in 2025
"The economy is now slowing from the otherwise robust first estimate of third quarter growth," said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae SVP and Chief Economist.
Read More »Fannie Mae’s Research Group Makes Downward Revisions for Mortgage Originations
“We forecast single-family purchase mortgage originations to be $1.32 trillion in 2023 and $1.41 trillion in 2024, representing downward revisions of $41 billion and $60 billion, respectively, relative to last month’s forecast,” the ESR said.
Read More »Most Respondents Believe Owning a Home Contributes to Overall Happiness
“Given the consistency of our survey results, we expect consumers' longstanding and highly favorable attitude toward homeownership as an investment option will continue to persist, even in the face of possible recession,” Fannie Mae authors concluded.
Read More »Fannie Mae: Recessionary Conditions Still Expected in 2023
“There are select data available to support several alternative views of the path of the economy, though we maintain our view that a modest recession will begin in the second half of 2023,” said Doug Duncan, SVP and Chief Economist at Fannie Mae.
Read More »Fannie Mae: Recession Conditions Expected in Second Half of 2023
“Inflation has now been joined by financial stability concerns as threats to sustained growth,” said Doug Duncan, SVP and Chief Economist for Fannie Mae.
Read More »Market Fundamentals Still Point to 2023 Recession
While unemployment and mortgage rates have both dropped recently, unsustainably high consumer spending and inflationary pressures are expected to push the economy into a recession during Q2 of 2023.
Read More »Consumer ‘Retrenchment’ is Major Factor in Upcoming Recession
"In our view, the balance still suggests a modest recession, particularly if the Federal Reserve maintains its focus on labor market tightness,” said Doug Duncan, SVP and Chief Economist for Fannie Mae.
Read More »Tumultuous Economic Conditions on Horizon After Recent Fed Move
According to new research from Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research Group (ESR), the housing market is expected to further cool as mortgage rates continue to rise and ...
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