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Consumer Confidence Staggers in October

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index, conducted for the group by Nielsen, fell to 71.2 in October after a moderate decline to 80.2 in September. "Consumer confidence deteriorated considerably as the federal government shutdown and debt-ceiling crisis took a particularly large toll on consumers' expectations," said Lynn Franco, director of economic indicators for the Conference Board. Franco noted recent history shows similar declines in response to government battles.

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LPS Price Index Inches Up in August

Home prices continue to rise, albeit with some dampening due to seasonal impacts. However, prices are still appreciating faster than last year, according to Lender Processing Services' (LPS) Home Price Index report for August. LPS calculated a 0.4 percent monthly home price increase in August and a 9 percent annual rise. Both calculations are lower than the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, which calculated a 1.3 percent monthly increase and a 12.8 percent annual increase.

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August Case-Shiller Indices Rise at Fastest Rate Since February 2006

The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices rose once again in August at their fastest annual rate in more than six and a half years, but the monthly pace continues to slow. The Case-Shiller 10- and 20-city composites each posted yearly growth of 12.8 percent over August 2012, breaking July records and setting the fastest pace for growth since February 2006. Compared to July's indices, annual growth accelerated in 14 of the tracked cities. Monthly numbers were slower, with both composites seeing a 1.3 percent increase.

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Investors Continue Flocking Toward Ripening Markets

Single-family homes, condominiums, and townhomes sold at an annualized rate of 5.7 million in September, according to numbers from RealtyTrac. September's figures were up 2 percent month-over-month and 14 percent year-over-year, with investors making the biggest impact, particularly in markets where prices have yet to cross the $200,000 mark. "The housing market continues to skew in favor of investors, particularly deep-pocketed institutional investors, and other buyers paying with cash," said Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac.

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September Pending Home Sales Indicate Flat Fourth Quarter

The National Association of Realtors' (NAR) Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) for September indicates home sales will stumble in the year's final quarter as buyers struggle with declining home affordability. "This tells us to expect lower home sales for the fourth quarter, with a flat trend going into 2014. Even so, ongoing inventory shortages will continue to lift home prices, though at a slower single-digit growth rate next year," said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.

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