Data

After releasing a mortgage origination forecast of $349 billion for the third quarter earlier this week, FBR Capital Markets revised its estimate to between $400 billion and $420 billion for the quarter Wednesday. FBR anticipates a rise in refinances under the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) as small specialty servicing shops are "still playing catch-up" from the recent boom. Meanwhile, larger players are relinquishing some of their market share, according to analysts at the investment bank.

Clayton Holdings LLC, a provider of loan due diligence, surveillance, and consulting services for the mortgage industry, announced that it has expanded its securitization group in preparation for the private market's return.

Atlanta-based Equifax announced the launch of a new tool designed to enhance underwriting and help lenders make predictive decisions based on consumer behavior.

Founded by what used to be the IT staff at National Default Exchange (NDeX), assured360 fully owns and operates two geographically diverse Tier 3 data centers: one in Farmington Hills, Michigan, and the other in Carrollton, Texas.

A new index from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and First American suggests that about one in seven housing markets have returned to or surpassed their pre-recessionary levels of activity. According to the association, the index registered a score of 0.85 nationwide, indicating that the national housing market is running at 85 percent of normal activity. Of the nearly 350 metro markets examined, 52 have reported levels of activity at least equal to those before the recession hit.

The Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI) decreased 0.7 percent in September to 110.7. "Credit availability tightened last month as more lenders removed program offerings with loan terms greater than 30 years and/or interest-only features, similar to the trend we observed last month," said Mike Fratantoni, MBA's VP of research and economics. "[W]e believe this reflects lenders' implementation of the Ability to Repay/Qualified Mortgage regulation which comes fully into effect in January."

In California, Stearns Lending, Inc., appointed Kathleen L. Vaughan to the newly created role of EVP of national third-party production.

Investment bank FBR's third-quarter mortgage originations estimate is $349 billion, a 29 percent decline over the quarter. The abating refinance market is a major drag on the mortgage industry, and, "[w]e do not believe that there will be a strong enough increase in the purchase market this quarter to offset the loss in refi volume," FBR stated. FBR estimates a 46 percent decline in refinances in the third quarter and a 2 percent rise in purchase originations.

As part of its ongoing efforts to diversify its mortgage services, Newbold Advisors has tapped the talents of 25-year veteran Jim Horne. He will serve as managing director in the firm's Washington, D.C., office. Horne has decades of diversified corporate and consulting experience, primarily in financial services companies.

According to Lender Processing Services' data, the monthly prepayment rate--historically a good indicator of refinance activity--has dipped more than 30 percent in the months since May, with mortgage interest rates climbing nearly 100 basis points in that same time. As a result of those shifts, the percentage of borrowers in loans with interest rates high enough for refinancing to make sense has dropped significantly, says Herb Blecher, SVP for the technology and analytics firm.