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Will Setbacks Derail the Homebuilding Recovery?

Despite some obstacles in the homebuilding recovery and three consecutive monthly declines in the National Association of Home Builder's homebuilder confidence index, Capital Economics remains largely optimistic about the homebuilding rebound. The analytics firm is sticking with its previous prediction that housing starts will reach about 1 million this year and 1.3 million next year as rising home prices help to mitigate increases in construction costs.

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Fitch Reasserts: Price Gains Unsustainable

In a release, Fitch Ratings maintains its cautious view of recent gains in home prices, suggesting recent news of rising prices and sales volumes "are not moving in sync with key economic indicators that would otherwise support a sustainable price level." One of those key indicators in unemployment, which has fallen in the past several years--partly as a result of fallout in labor force participation, not an improving employment situation, Fitch says.

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Survey Shows Improvements in Multifamily Market Conditions

Apartment markets improved in April in all categories, according to the National Multi Housing Council's (NMHC) April Quarterly Survey of Apartment Market Conditions. All four of the survey's indexes--Market Tightness, Sales Volume, Equity Financing, and Debt Financing--came in above 50, which marks the point between improving and deteriorating conditions. April's gains reverse findings made in January, when Market Tightness and Sales Volume dropped below 50 for the first time since 2010.

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